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2024-12-13 10:30:24

In terms of fiscal policy, increasing the fiscal deficit ratio and increasing the amount of special national debt and special debt will inject more funds into the market. These funds will flow to infrastructure construction, people's livelihood security and other fields. On the one hand, it will drive the development of the real economy, and on the other hand, it will improve market expectations to a certain extent. More capital flows in the market, which is conducive to the improvement of the financing environment of enterprises and is a positive signal for the overall capital of the stock market.In terms of fiscal policy, increasing the fiscal deficit ratio and increasing the amount of special national debt and special debt will inject more funds into the market. These funds will flow to infrastructure construction, people's livelihood security and other fields. On the one hand, it will drive the development of the real economy, and on the other hand, it will improve market expectations to a certain extent. More capital flows in the market, which is conducive to the improvement of the financing environment of enterprises and is a positive signal for the overall capital of the stock market.


Although the birth promotion policy is a new content in the economic conference, in the long run, it has a great potential impact on maternal and child, education, medical care and other related industries. However, in the short term, the direct pull on the stock market may be relatively limited.For Friday's A-share market, it is possible to go low and go high. On the one hand, some investors may panic at the opening because of the FTSE A50 diving, which leads to a lower opening. On the other hand, with the market's in-depth interpretation and digestion of the contents of the Central Economic Work Conference, the influence of active policies will gradually emerge. In the long run, with the promotion of policies, various industries will gradually adjust and develop. Although the overall index will fluctuate in the short term, the upward trend is still relatively stable. As long as the macroeconomic environment continues to improve and corporate profits gradually improve, the stock market is expected to move forward steadily under the spring breeze of policies. Investors need not worry too much about short-term fluctuations, but should pay more attention to the structural opportunities of various industries in the process of policy implementation.


Although the FTSE A50 index plunged by nearly 1% after the news came out, this does not necessarily mean that the market is pessimistic. Just as the market performance may not be good the next day when A50 surged, the market expectation often differs from the actual trend. The content of this meeting is positive to the market as a whole. The market may have expected some policies in the early stage, and it is normal for profit-taking or short-term adjustment to occur after the news landed. From the overall policy orientation, both the positive macro policies and the layout of consumption, investment, science and technology have laid the foundation for the stability and upward movement of the stock market.Boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand in all directions are one of the core points of the meeting. Consumption, as an important carriage driving economic growth, will directly drive the development of related industries. From the perspective of consumer stocks, industries such as food and beverage, household appliances and automobiles are expected to benefit. The improvement of investment efficiency points to the optimization and upgrading of investment in infrastructure and other fields. The promotion of traditional infrastructure and new infrastructure projects will bring orders and performance growth expectations to related enterprises, such as new infrastructure sectors such as 5G base station construction and UHV, as well as traditional infrastructure sectors such as buildings and building materials.

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